JMSS_hopefully heres what gpt says
✅ Updated Spot Breakdown (REALISTIC & STRATEGIC):
🔹 Total Spots at Nossal: 208
(based on recent years, sometimes ±5%)
📦 Round 1 – The Bulk of Offers (90%)
185–190 offers go out.
These are for students who had Nossal as their 1st preference, scored high enough, and didn’t hit the 4% cap.
Most high-ranked students get placed here.
🔁 Round 2 – Preference Swaps
Only 10–15 offers are made.
These are people who got, for example, Mac.Rob in Round 1 but had Nossal as 1st preference, so they’re switched to Nossal.
No “new” people enter here — it’s just reordering preferences.
🌀 Round 3 – Rejections/Open Spots
This is where real hope is for people still waiting.
Happens when:
Students reject Nossal (go private, MHS, MacRob, scholarships).
Students withdraw or move interstate.
Typically 5–15 new offers are made here, max.
By this time, many schools (especially large privates) are over the 4% cap, so only under-cap schools are considered.
🧠 What This Means for You:
If your school already has 3–4 students in, you're likely at the cap.
That means unless someone from your school declines, you cannot be offered a spot — no matter how high your score is.
The Round 3 pool is super limited, and mostly goes to:
Underrepresented schools
Regional applicants
People who are next in line AND under the 4% cap
