ₐₙₒₙᵧₘₒᵤₛ Look, it’s not a contradiction if you actually think about it. The system has patterns and cutoffs you can estimate—that’s why I said I think I’ve got a shot based on rankings. But no system is 100% predictable because there are always variables like withdrawals, preferences, and yes, some luck.
So it’s a mix—strategic understanding plus unpredictable factors. And just because some things are out of your control or involve luck doesn’t mean it measures your intelligence or effort. If you can’t handle nuance and only want black-and-white answers, that’s on you