At least from my own personal experience, I have found that COVID has had an impact in terms of students appreciating their own mental health and focusing more on things that they enjoy and can cope with, rather than simply scaling (which is such a good thing!).
Scaling still creeps in every year but it really shouldn't be that one influence that makes you choose a subject. Perhaps it's worth considering if you're somebody aiming for a really high ATAR. One could also argue if you're a high achiever, even if you choose subjects that "scale down", your high achievement would minimise that impact.
I have also found through observation that the factors in the poll of 'What my friends are doing' and 'Who the teacher is' also does play a role in some way. School is as much a social and relationships thing as it is academics so I would definitely say these play a role in general - perhaps not subject specific.
I do find that students in general are still misinformed in regards to workload, key knowledge/skills for specific subjects also. So the 'Workload' option i'd argue in most cases is one that isn't often considered. Some schools have great career counsellors who are really knowledgable in their craft, and some that don't have one at all which creates that disadvantage (then again, there's a lot of that around in the education system isn't there?)
From my own high schooling journey (I feel really strange in saying that it was a decade ago now.... for context been teaching in a school for nearly 5 years as well), I chose subjects based on interest, recommendations from teachers and availability. Availability is the important one because at that time I wasn't informed about Distance Education and other alternatives to taking a subject so I just went with what was available. Did I enjoy them all? No. Did I do well in all of them? No. I did get to see subject areas however that I would've not normally explored e.g. PE and HHD but in the end they really did give my VCE program a good balance.
When students get to that Year 9 or 10 stage they're asked to start making decisions that will support their career interests and ambitions. For a lot of students, this is really a daunting and challenging prospect. At that age how many people have really considered this idea of life after school? A lot 'living in the moment'.
My real response to anyone choosing subjects would be:
- (If applicable) What do you want to do after school and what do you need to get there? Prerequisites mainly.
- What will provide you with a balanced program, considering what you might potentially want to do? e.g. Maths Methods choice to 'keep doors open' in terms of university, as one example.
- What have you enjoyed doing so far? Particularly focus on your elective/breadth options that you've undertaken. If it's a subject you haven't personally enjoyed in a certain year, could put it down to teacher but in most cases it's a signal that perhaps it isn't for you as a subject area.
I personally would not be choosing subjects for: what my friends are doing, who the teacher is, and scaling/prestige.
- Your friends will have different aspirations to you in most cases.
- The teacher for the following year is never guaranteed, even if they've been the only teacher doing it for years. Timetables changes, teachers move on, teachers have to be changed around to suit the dynamic school program (a lot more changes than you'd think, trust me).
- You're more likely to do better in a subject that you enjoy rather than choosing one simply for the scaling.
Also important to note that school is a small window of time, plenty more opportunities to learn (in all the different ways) once you finish.